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Single vs Double Embryo Transfer: Odds, Risks and Why eSET Often Wins (ASRM and ESHRE Evidence)

Single embryo transfer compared with double. Odds per transfer, cumulative outcomes, and multiple pregnancy risks in plain English.

Published 18 Sept 202512–14 min read
Not medical advice. General information only. Always confirm dates and care with your own clinic.

Single embryo transfer vs double embryo transfer outcomes and risks

Featured answer

Single embryo transfer means placing one embryo. Double embryo transfer means placing two. The trade off is simple. eSET lowers the chance of twins and the risks that follow while keeping similar cumulative outcomes across one to two transfers in many groups. DET may lift per transfer odds but raises multiple pregnancy risk. Most clinics start with eSET for safety.

Introduction

You want the best chance and the safest plan. Single embryo transfer is the choice many clinics lead with. eSET vs DET is about risk and timing. We set out the odds per transfer and across a short series and explain why the lower twin risk often wins. You will also see what ASRM and ESHRE suggest today.

Single vs Double Embryo Transfer at a Glance

Definitions and quick context

Single embryo transfer is one embryo in the uterus. Double embryo transfer is two. Results depend on age, embryo stage and quality, and clinic practice.

The three numbers that matter

Per transfer success. Cumulative success across one to two transfers. Risk of multiple pregnancy. Cumulative is the number many people care about and it is often similar with eSET when a second transfer is used if needed.

Common mistake

Chasing twins to save time. Twin pregnancies carry higher risks to mother and babies. That is why many clinics set eSET as default.

Evidence: ASRM guidance (2023) and ESHRE guidance (2023–2024) support eSET for good prognosis groups to cut multiple pregnancy without lowering cumulative live birth.

Odds and Outcomes

Per transfer vs cumulative

DET can raise per transfer pregnancy rates. eSET across one to two transfers can reach similar cumulative live birth in many groups while holding a much lower twin rate. This is the key safety win.

Age, embryo stage, and quality

Younger age and high quality day 5 embryos favour eSET. Older age or lower quality may change the numbers and the discussion. Cleavage stage embryos have different performance to blastocysts.

PGT‑A and how it shifts decisions

If a euploid embryo is available, many clinics prefer eSET because the per embryo odds are higher and the twin risk is lower with one.

Evidence: Peer reviewed studies show higher risks with multiples, including preterm birth and low birth weight. Cumulative outcomes can be similar with eSET plans that allow a second transfer.

Risks of Multiple Pregnancy

Maternal risks overview

Higher rates of preeclampsia, gestational diabetes, anaemia, operative birth, and postpartum haemorrhage are seen with twins.

Baby risks overview

Higher rates of prematurity, low birth weight, NICU time, and longer stays are seen with twins. Long term outcomes are linked to gestation and weight.

Health system and cost impacts

Multiple pregnancies increase use of antenatal visits, scans, admissions, and neonatal care. This matters for families and health systems.

Evidence: ASRM and ESHRE note consistent risk increases with multiple gestation. Reducing twins is a shared goal.

What ASRM and ESHRE Say

High level guidance by age and embryo quality

Good prognosis groups are encouraged to choose eSET. For older age brackets or when embryo quality is low, the number transferred may change after counselling. Policies vary across regions.

When DET may be considered

Some clinics consider DET after discussion when prognosis is poor and embryo quality is low. The decision is documented and risks are explained.

Why many clinics default to eSET

It protects safety while keeping similar cumulative outcomes for many groups across short series of transfers.

Evidence: ESHRE overview 2023 and ASRM committee opinions 2023 report lower multiple rates with eSET with similar cumulative live birth across planned repeats.

Fresh vs Frozen, Day 3 vs Day 5

Practical differences that affect choice

Day 5 transfers often have higher per embryo performance. Frozen cycles allow time for screening and recovery. Local practice and lab skill matter.

Lab and clinic variation notes

Success varies by programme. Your team’s data help set the baseline for you.

Common myths to skip

Two embryos do not simply double your chance. They do increase the chance of twins and the risks that follow.

Shared Decision Checklist

Questions to ask your clinic

What are my per transfer and cumulative odds with one vs two. What twin rate applies here. What is the plan if the first eSET does not work.

Values and risk tolerance prompts

How do I weigh a small gain in speed against a larger rise in twin risk. How do I feel about possible prematurity or NICU care.

Red flags and when to pause

If your health risks are high, ask if eSET is strongly preferred. If the clinic cannot show current data, ask for it.

Proof and practicals

Mini case snapshot

A person chose eSET with a high quality blastocyst. The first transfer failed. The second worked. One healthy baby. Another person chose DET with similar embryos and became pregnant with twins. Birth was preterm and the stay in hospital was longer. Different stress profiles. Discuss what fits you.

eSET vs DET at a glance

eSET vs DET at a glance
FactoreSET (single)DET (double)
Per transfer oddsLower than DET in many groupsHigher per transfer
Cumulative across 1–2 transfersOften similar to DETOften similar to eSET
Multiple pregnancy riskLowHigher
Recovery burdenLowerHigher if twins
Costs over timeCan be similar if second transfer usedCan be higher with twin care
Guideline stanceOften preferred for safetyConsidered only in selected cases

Checklist before you choose 1 or 2 embryos

  1. Ask for per transfer and cumulative odds in your age band.
  2. Ask for twin rates with one vs two.
  3. Confirm embryo stage and quality and if PGT‑A was done.
  4. Ask the plan if the first eSET fails.
  5. Consider health risks if pregnant with twins.
  6. Check clinic policy and local rules.
  7. Write down your values and limits.

Myth vs Fact

Myth: Two embryos always double your chance.
Fact: Two can lift per transfer odds. They also lift twin risk. Cumulative outcomes can be similar with eSET and a plan for a second transfer.

Useful links

Sources

FAQ

Is single embryo transfer safer than double?
Yes. eSET cuts the twin rate and the risks that come with twins. It keeps similar cumulative outcomes across planned repeats in many groups.
Do two embryos always raise success rates?
They can raise per transfer odds but bring a higher risk of twins. Many clinics prefer eSET then a second transfer if needed.
When might DET be reasonable?
After counselling in selected cases with low prognosis. Policies vary. Your clinic will explain when and why.
How do age and embryo quality change the plan?
Younger age and high quality day 5 embryos support eSET. Older age or low quality may shift the balance.
Does PGT‑A make eSET the default?
If a euploid embryo is available, many clinics choose eSET because per embryo odds are higher and twin risk is lower.
What are the main risks of twins in IVF?
Higher rates of preterm birth, low birth weight, NICU time, and more maternal complications.
What do ASRM and ESHRE recommend today?
They support eSET for good prognosis groups and careful use of DET after counselling when prognosis is low.

Conclusion

Single embryo transfer often gives the safest path with similar cumulative success across short series of transfers. It lowers the risk of twins and the problems that follow. Discuss your numbers, embryo quality, and values with your team and use the checklist to decide well.

  • What did your clinic recommend and why. Share your situation to help others.
  • Read our guides on embryo transfer choices and twin risks next.

Reminder: Discuss embryo number with your fertility specialist. Your age, embryo quality, and health history matter.